26.10.2021
Electoral sentiment in Chernivtsi: one year after the elections (2–6 October 2021)
- According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group, residents of Chernivtsi assess the situation at the local and national levels almost equally. Only 25% of respondents believe that things in the city are moving in the right direction, while 56% hold the opposite opinion. Regarding the country, 27% believe things are moving in the right direction, and 64% think otherwise.
- Only 21% say that the situation in the city has improved over the past year. 37% noticed deterioration, and 38% saw no changes.
- 31% are satisfied with the performance of Chernivtsi Mayor Roman Klichuk, while 54% are dissatisfied. The work of the city council is rated positively by 22%, and negatively by 62%.
- 45% are satisfied with educational institutions, 29% dissatisfied, and 27% could not assess. 41% are satisfied with medical institutions, 48% dissatisfied. 39% are satisfied with the police, 34% dissatisfied, 27% could not assess. Public transport received a positive rating from 31% and a negative rating from 48%. Municipal services received the worst evaluations: 27% positive and 68% negative.
- The leaders in local political trust are Vitalii Mykhailyshyn (trust – 33%, distrust – 57%), Oleksii Kaspruk (trust – 33%, distrust – 57%) and Roman Klichuk (trust – 29%, distrust – 59%). 17% trust Serhii Osachuk, 46% do not trust him, and 31% do not know him.
- Residents of Chernivtsi demonstrate relatively high electoral mobilization: 60% are definitely ready to participate in the elections of the city council and mayor. 14% are uncertain (50/50), 5% might participate, and 20% are unlikely to come to the polling stations. Willingness to vote is higher among older respondents.
- The leading parties in the election to the city council are “Yedyna Alternatyva” (19.1% among those who have decided and intend to vote) and “Komanda Mykhailyshyna” (18.4%). 13.6% are ready to support “Servant of the People”, 8.6% — European Solidarity, 8.2% — Batkivshchyna, and 7.7% — Propozytsiia. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 16% are undecided.
- In the mayoral ranking, the leaders are Vitalii Mykhailyshyn (28.5% among those who have decided and intend to vote) and Roman Klichuk (27%). 20.1% are ready to vote for Oleksii Kaspruk, and 6.1% for Olena Lys. The ratings of other candidates are below 3%. Around 15% are undecided.
- In the parliamentary ranking, the leading party is “Servant of the People”, supported by 31.2% of those who have decided and intend to vote. European Solidarity has 16.2%, Batkivshchyna — 16.1%, Opposition Platform – For Life — 7.2%, Strength and Honor — 5.2%, UDAR of Vitalii Klychko — 3.5%, Holos — 3.3%, and Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman — 3.1%. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 14% remain undecided.
- In the presidential ranking, the leader is Volodymyr Zelenskyi, supported by 37.9% of those who have decided and intend to vote. Petro Poroshenko receives 14.1%, Yulia Tymoshenko — 11.5%, Yurii Boiko — 7.4%, Volodymyr Groysman — 6.1%, Ihor Smeshko — 6.0%, and Dmytro Razumkov — 4.6%. The ratings of other candidates are below 3%. Around 9% remain undecided.
Methodology
- Audience: Chernivtsi residents aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Sample size: 1,000 respondents.
- Face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Research representativeness error: no more than 3.1%.
- Fieldwork dates: 2–6 October 2021.
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